How much does home advantage still matter?

Home advantage comes from the crowd, not having to travel and familiarity with the pitch. In many leagues, home teams still win noticeably more often than away teams.

Don’t use one number for every team

Some teams are very strong at home but ordinary on the road, and vice versa. Check the separate home / away records in the standings instead of looking only at total points.

The schedule factor

An away team that has just played a midweek game far from home is usually at a bigger disadvantage. The schedule is a small piece of data that often gets overlooked.